Promotion
PREVIEW

NFL 2022-23 betting preview and free bets: Complete season guide to the contenders and Super Bowl selections

LAST spring, the LA Rams hoisted the Lombardi Trophy in their very own SoFi Stadium.

After months of trades, drafts, coaching changes and training camps, we stand on the edge of another NFL season.

Advertisement
The NFL returns in September

All 32 teams will be harbouring dreams of postseason glory, but which are the real deal, and which are destined to basement dwellers? Let’s pick our way through some of the runners and riders in the Ante Post outright market…

All odds courtesy of Paddy Power - New customers get £20 back as cash if first bet loses - *

THE CONTENDERS


Topping the market (and it’s a scary place to be for some of their older, battled-hardened fans) is the BUFFALO BILLS (6/1). For all 52 years of the AFL-NFL merger they have been the bridesmaids… Can they finally have their day in the sun?

The pieces all seem to be there: QB Josh Allen and HC Sean McDermott have been making strides each year. A supporting cast of Stefon Diggs, Dawson Knox, Tre Edmunds, Jordan Poyer and Devin Singletary gives them star power across the board. New faces including Von Miller should ensure strength in the depth chart.

It’s just a case of getting over their severe mental scarring. January’s AFC Divisional Round loss to the Chiefs (featuring THAT 13-second drive by Patrick Mahomes) is still too much for many Buffalonians to bear. The four falls of Buffalo (back-to-back-to-back-to-back Super Bowl losses in the 90s) are well documented, but this team is in danger of a new painful generation if they can’t make the big dance this time around…

Speaking of the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (9/1), it looks like they could still well be the top dogs of the AFC, even if the conference is loaded with teams primed to take a shot at them. Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will be as strong as ever, although some of their performances in the middle of last season left a lot to be desired.

If they do make it seven AFC West titles in a row, they will have done it the hard way. It’s arguably the hardest division in Football, with the Broncos and Chargers having elite QBs, and the Raiders arguably having a world class one.

There may be more ‘fashionable’ and ‘sexy’ picks this year, but even with the AFC title collapse against Cincy in mind, is it ever wise to pick against the Chiefs if they get some playoff games at Arrowhead? 

The TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7/1) have one thing in mind: Win now. It could well really, finally, definitely be the last ride for Tom Brady this time, and with a scary non-GOAT abyss waiting for them after this year, time is not on their side.

Todd Bowles takes up Head Coaching duties with Bruce Arians moving upstairs, but other than that there is stability within the ranks. Their young ‘Gravedigger’ secondary is another year wiser, the likes of Leonard Fournette, Vita Vea, and Tristan Wirfs all return. Brady’s weapons at WR look downright scary, with Julio Jones and Russell Gage joining Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.

However… It’s not been a good pre-season on the injury front. Pro Bowl center Ryan Jensen looks out for the whole year, so does fellow man-in-the-trenches Aaron Stinnie. 45 year old Tom Brady isn’t going to be Lamar Jackson any time soon and will need his O-line to give him time.

Will they have enough to do so? It might be a step too much to overcome, but with TB12 having the tools to hack Father Time’s mainframe, could he lift his supporting cast to one more ring?


THE CONTENDERS

Will the CINCINNATI BENGALS (20/1) make it straight back to the Super Bowl? Trends suggest not, but this team reached those lofty heights ahead of schedule. There is plenty of belief in the Ohio Jungle, with Joe Burrow a superstar QB in a division that’s rocked by instability.

The AFC North will be without Big Ben (permanently) and Deshaun Watson (sadly not permanently, 11 games) so if they can get ahead of the Ravens then the division is right there.

The LOS ANGELES RAMS (10/1) will attempt make it back-to-back titles but it’s been 18 years since we’ve seen it happen. It’s been quite a low-key offseason, but with their superstar core only dented with the retirement of Andrew Whitworth, the reigning champs will be in bullish mood.

Unfortunately for them, they face a similar problem to the Chiefs: Their division is downright dirty. The Cardinals and 49ers are both primed to take wins, while the Seahawks may be slightly more of a lay-up, pending who they put out as QB in Week 1.  This team did manage to beat the Bucs on the road last playoffs though, so there’s few things to doubt, if we see a repeat level of performance.

One team that I love though, especially given the trials of some divisions, is the GREEN BAY PACKERS (10/1). In a betting market dominated by the AFC (six of the top eight are AFC teams), the Packers sit alongside the Bucs as perennial NFC kings. They are the third-shortest price to win their division (behind Tampa Bay and the Bills) and have racked up eight NFC North titles in the last 11 seasons.

Then, there’s Aaron Rodgers. Arguably playing at the peak of his powers, the reigning MVP comes back reinvigorated with a $150 million contract extension and little doubt that he is the king of all Wisconsin.

Matt LaFleur is 39-10 in the regular season as Packers Coach. He surely has to start translating that to postseason success. Three upset playoff losses in three years does sting, will it be 4th time lucky? If Rodgers can cope admirably with the loss of WR Davante Adams, the price will look like an insult.

Advertisement

WIN A PS5 IN SEPTEMBER WITH DREAM TEAM

BEST OF THE REST

Will the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (14/1) finally shake off their, well, ‘Chargers’ tag and get their act together? Justin Herbert is too talented to be sitting on the sidelines come January, and Brandon Staley enters his sophomore year needing at least to make it past week 18 this time.

The DALLAS COWBOYS (18/1) enter year number 27 without as much as a Super Bowl appearance. The NFC East is arguably the easiest division in Football, so Mike McCarthy may be in the league’s hottest seat, and you know that owner Jerry Jones will have the heat turned up to 11 should they fail to win a playoff game for the eight straight season.

With reports swirling that Jones desperately wants Sean Payton to take over as Head Coach, could McCarthy be a dead man walking?

From ‘America’s Team’, to the REAL America’s Team! The DETROIT LIONS (80/1) and more specifically Dan Campbell have been winning hearts and minds with their showing on this season’s Hard Knocks. But it’s time to start turning that into tangible on-field progress.

Arguably the most talented three win team there’s ever been last season, doubling that total this time around is well within reach, even if the playoffs may not be.

The JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (100/1) could well be the first team in history to be strengthened with the loss of a person, rather than gaining someone. Urban Meyer we hardly knew ye, as actual responsible adult Doug Pederson takes the reigns in Duval. Number one draft pick Travon Walker has shone in pre-season and Trevor Lawrence is a prime making the leap candidate.

Whispers of ‘Sacksonville’ have been swirling North Florida with the construction of a talented-looking defense. Looking at the under-baked AFC South, they might just surprise a few.

Finally, the battle for 2022’s wooden spoon looks set to be between the ATLANTA FALCONS (200/1) and HOUSTON TEXANS (200/1). I’d break down these teams in depth, but oh look, I’ve ran out of column inches… And to be honest, that might be a good thing.

Super Bowl selections:

1pt – Denver Broncos @ 16/1 (18/1 best price)
1pt – Green Bay Packers @ 10/1 (12/1 best price)

JOIN SUN VEGAS: GET A FREE £10 BONUS WITH 100s OF GAMES TO PLAY AND NO DEPOSIT REQUIRED (Ts&Cs apply)

Most read in Betting Tips

RED-HOT FORM
Bookies slash Salah's odds on winning Ballon d'Or but remains fourth favourite

NFL Betting offers and free bets

Advertisement

*New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Apple Pay will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply. 18+ Begambleaware.org

Betfair: Bet £20 and get it back as Cash if it Loses – 

Max £/€20 refund on first bet. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. Only deposits made via Debit Card will be eligible for the promotion. T&Cs apply. 18+ BeGambleAware.Org

Advertisement