Chelsea defender who can’t stop shooting and a Villa star who’s always being fouled – Weekend Wager’s best FA Cup bets
SUNSPORT'S Weekend Wager uses in-depth stats and razor-sharp analysis to bring you the best value bets from the upcoming bumper weekend of sport.
Joining our very own Will Pugh on this week's show is football journalist Kweku Afari and betting expert Sam Rosbottom.
The panel talk through some of the biggest games from this weekend's FA Cup.
Brighton vs Chelsea and Aston Villa vs Tottenham are the matches where there's money to be made, according to our experts.
And we've also got a cheeky Super Bowl bet to take a punt on.
Check out all our best bets for the weekend below:
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BRIGHTON vs CHELSEA
Kweku Afari: Chelsea to score 3+ goals - 5/2
"You look at this Brighton team, there are questions marks… last week against Nottingham Forest they shipped seven goals.
"This is a Brighton who are not in very good form and they've got no clean sheets against Chelsea in their last eight meetings.
"I've got Chelsea to go big in this one."
Will Pugh: Rutter to score & Chelsea to win - 11/1
"Rutter's got three goals in his last two FA Cup games, and that's good on it's own.
"When you hear those three goals came in just 101 minutes...
"But, I still think the Blues are going to do it - they've progressed from 25 of their last 27 FA Cup fourth round ties.
"Brighton have also lost each of their last four matches vs Chelsea and have won just one of the last 11 homes games the Blues.
"That's quite a record."
Sam Rosbottom: Tosin to have 2+ shots - 16/5
"I'm having loads of luck in the player shots market.
"Hear me out... [Tosin] has had nine shots in his last four games, including three in the last match vs West Ham.
"He had four in his last FA Cup game against Morecambe and got on the scoresheet twice.
"It's value."
ASTON VILLA vs TOTTENHAM
Kweku: BTTS & Villa to win - 15/8
"Can Villa put a dent in Tottenham's bid to win a trophy for the first time since 2008? I think yes...
"I feel like this is a safe bet in terms of it coming in.""I feel like this is a safe bet in terms of it coming in.
"These teams have both scored in three of their last four meetings, while Spurs have lost three of their last four domestic away games."
Will: Malen goal or assist & Spurs to win - 13/1
"Tottenham have progressed from four of their last five FA Cup fourth round ties.
"They've also won nine of their last ten away games against Aston Villa.
"Donyell Malen... three shots on target in three games - two of them in his last game against Wolves.
"He's looked really busy whenever I've seen him and I fancy him to be involved."
Sam: Ramsey to be fouled 2+ times - 2/1
"Keeping it simple... he's been fouled twice in each of his last three games.
"In total, 14 fouls in his last eight matches - he is a player who does get brought down.
"He's likely to come up against Dejan Kulusevski and Pedro Porro... this is value."
SUPER BOWL
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Kweku - Mahomes to score a TD - 7/2
"The Chiefs are aiming for history, right now - the first-ever NFL team to win three Super Bowls in a row.
"Patrick Mahomes, the only person he is chasing right now is Tom Brady.
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"The only person to ever beat Patrick Mahomes in a Super Bowl is Tom Brady.
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