Boris Johnson could lose his seat due to a surge in younger voters
Tory policies and the Brexit mess have turned off young voters and the rising number in Boris Johnson's Uxbridge and South Ruislip constituency puts his seat at risk
TORY leadership contender Boris Johnson is at risk of losing his seat - due to a surge of younger voters, research shows.
The Brexiteer’s 5,000 majority could be whittled away if the trend of under-40s continues to move against the Conservatives.
Research conducted by Onward think tank has listed BoJo’s Uxbridge and South Ruislip seat as “vulnerable” at the 2022 election.
Analysis shows the Tory candidate would likely lose if the ratio rises above 1.1 younger residents (aged 20-39) for every older voter over 60 - which is the case in Mr Johnson’s constituency.
These voters are likely to determine their vote in terms of factors such as whether they have managed to buy their own home.
Foreign Office Minister Mark Field and ex-Trade Minister Greg Hands who hold London seats could also struggle to keep their jobs in a general election.
Nick Faith, from Onward, said: “The age profile of whether someone is more likely to vote Conservative is rising sharply.
“The tipping point is now 51 which means the Tories are increasingly putting off younger voters.
"Over time this could have a significant impact on certain parliamentary seats which on the face it might seem secure.”
Meanwhile, Betfair Exchange have received a £3,500 bet on Boris to be the next Tory leader with his odds currently at 5/1.
Michael Gove is second favourite at 7/1 and Jeremy Hunt at 15/2.
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