Labour outright majority at the next election is not a done deal, warns polling guru

A LABOUR outright majority at the next election is not a done deal, a polling guru has warned.

Professor Michael Thrasher said Sir Keir Starmer needed to double his performance at the local elections.

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His projection of the council votes into a national share puts Labour on 36 per cent and the Tories on 27 per cent.

He told Sky News yesterday: “The gap between Conservative and Labour is only seven points.

"It needs to be at least double that if Labour is to win.”

Professor Thrasher said it was possible Rishi Sunak could follow Gordon Brown, who was trailing massively leading into the 2010 election but eventually closed the gap to deprive the Tories of a majority.

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Downing Street are clinging to the analysis as proof that election defeat is not a dead certainty.

Transport Secretary Mark Harper said there is “everything to fight for” at the general election.