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JAMES FORSYTH

PM Theresa May must stop Remoaner Hammond’s customs union fantasy and focus on Britain’s post-Brexit future

Controlling our own borders while retaining access to EU markets seems like a dream - but is a huge obstacle to talks

Comp Forsyth

IMAGINE the UK could get a deal where we’d control our own borders – and our goods would still have tariff-free access to the EU market without having to jump through any extra hoops.

To top it all, this deal could be in place by the next General Election, in 2020.

To many, it’s a dream — the best bit of the EU without the immigration diktats. And it’s a dream that has seduced many in Whitehall.

Some in Whitehall are clinging to a pipe dream of controlling our borders yet remaining in the EU customs union - and May must put a stop to it
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Some in Whitehall are clinging to a pipe dream of controlling our borders yet remaining in the EU customs union - and May must put a stop to itCredit: PA:Press Association Wire

Their plan is to have Britain leave the EU single market but STAY in the customs union.

But they’re wrong. This would be a bad deal for Britain, a kind of fake Brexit that is ­fundamentally unsuited to this country’s needs.

But those pushing for this, like Chancellor Philip Hammond, are backing a fake Brexit that would do nothing for Britain
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But those pushing for this, like Chancellor Philip Hammond, are backing a fake Brexit that would do nothing for BritainCredit: PA:Press Association

You can have a free hand to make your own trade deals or you can be in a customs union. You can’t have both. As one Cabinet minister warns, staying in the customs union “does screw up your other trade talks”.

Compounding this problem: The customs union doesn’t cover the sector that makes up close to 80 per cent of the British economy — services.

So there would still need to be separate deals negotiated for the City of London and the rest.

In this situation, different deals would have to be negotiated for the City of London and in other cases
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In this situation, different deals would have to be negotiated for the City of London and the services economyCredit: Getty Images

As long as the UK is in the customs union, this country will be penned in by the EU’s ­iniquitous “common external tariff”.

This is designed to protect the EU’s most politically sensitive industries by making goods from ­outside more expensive.

The result? Cars from outside face a ten per cent tariff, clothes an 11.5 per cent one, and there are far higher rates for food.

And who pays? We do, through higher prices.

Everyday goods are made more expensive by the customs union - it would do us no good to keep prices at such a high level
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Everyday goods are made more expensive by the customs union - it would do us no good to keep prices at such a high levelCredit: EPA

For all Theresa May’s talk, Britain cannot be a global leader in free trade if it stays inside the customs union.

But if Britain left it, the Government could cut trade deals that would see tariffs slashed on consumer goods imported from the workshops of the world in exchange for our service ­industries getting access to these markets.

It would be good for consumers and the country.

For all May's talk, we can't expect to be a global business leader and stay in the customs union - there is more opportunity outside it
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For all May's talk, we can't expect to be a global business leader and stay in the customs union - there is more opportunity outside itCredit: EPA

Mrs May likes to say that Britain must not think about what bits of EU membership it wants to keep — but instead cut an entirely new deal.

If our PM is to be true to this, she must tell ministers and officials to drop this halfway- house idea of staying in the customs union.

But unless the PM gives this instruction, Whitehall will not abandon the idea.

As one ­minister points out: “The Treasury never gives up.”

After comments about the Bank of England's monetary policy set Philip Hammond on edge, Theresa May could be reluctant to irritate the Chancellor again
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After comments about the Bank of England's monetary policy set Philip Hammond on edge, Theresa May could be reluctant to irritate the Chancellor againCredit: Getty Images
But she should put a stop to the idea nonetheless - as its not whats best for Britain
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But she should put a stop to the idea nonetheless - as Whitehall requires a clear directive that this is not what's best for BritainCredit: Getty Images

Mrs May might be reluctant to irritate the ­Treasury at the moment. I am told that Chancellor Philip Hammond was not best pleased by her ­criticisms of the Bank of England’s ­monetary policy in her conference speech.

“That line on monetary policy has caused serious trouble with the Chancellor,” one senior figure inside Government tells me.

But it is past time for some clear direction on this subject.

One of the great benefits of leaving the ­European Union is to head out into the world and do deals with the fast-growing economies of the 21st Century.

Stuck in the customs union, Britain cannot do that.


Build on green belt to make housing work

Theresa May's big test will be housing - as she must build more low-cost homes to make the economy work for everyone
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Theresa May's big test will be housing, as she must build more low-cost homes to make the economy work for everyoneCredit: Getty Images

THE biggest test of Theresa May’s pledge to make the economy work for everyone is housing.

For home ownership is now at its lowest level in 30 years – and the Tory dream of the property-owning democracy is in danger of dying.

Home ownership is at its lowest level in .. years and huge numbers of properties are out of most peoples price range
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Home ownership is at its lowest level in 30 years and huge numbers of properties are out of most people's price rangeCredit: Getty Images

In 40 per cent of local authorities, the average property is worth more than ten times what the typical person earns.

Given that people can borrow up to four times their income, this means that buying a home is out of the reach of those who don’t have large savings or aren’t receiving help from the bank of Mum and Dad.

This is entrenching privilege.

Communities Secretary Sajid Javid has looked into how
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Communities Secretary Sajid Javid has looked into how the government can build more affordable housing in areas where people actually want to live, and plans will be published soonCredit: Getty Images

The solution to this problem has to be to build a lot more houses – and build them where people want to live.

Sajid Javid, the new Communities Secretary, set out his thoughts on how to do this to the Cabinet on Tuesday, and the Government will publish its plans in the next two months.

One of those present for the briefing said that the Government’s target for how many houses need to be built is pretty much being met in both the North and the Midlands but “it is the South that is the problem”.

A lot of people will object to green belt building - but they need to remember it doesn't all look like this
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A lot of people will object to green belt building - but they need to remember it doesn't all look like thisCredit: Getty Images

Dealing with this southern problem is, the source says, “going to mean impinging on the green belt”.

There will be vocal objections if the Government does allow building on the green belt, including hostility from Tory MPs and local councillors.

But the housing problem has now become so big that there is no way to solve it without doing this.

Also, much of the green belt is actually ugly scrubland, not beautiful fields.

If Mrs May is prepared to face down this opposition from her own side and get more houses built, then she will have shown that her conference commitment to stand up to the elites on behalf of ordinary working people wasn’t just rhetoric.


Farage is Don for

Nigel Farages refusal to condemn Donald Trumps pussy-grab comments
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Nigel Farage's refusal to condemn Donald Trump's pussy-grab comments is hurting his image on home soilCredit: Getty Images

A SLEW of Republicans might be abandoning Donald Trump following his boasts about pussy-grabbing – but not Nigel Farage.

But Farage’s refusal to dump Trump is hurting him back home in the UK.

“The spell around Nigel was broken by the Trump stuff,” one influential Ukip figure tells me.

A senior Ukip official said his appearances with Trump had broken the spell around Farage in the party
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A senior Ukip official said his appearances with Trump had 'broken the spell' around Farage in the partyCredit: AP:Associated Press

His shilling for Trump isn’t a good look for the party, particularly as Ukip already does far less well with female voters than with male ones.

Adding to Farage’s problems is that support is ebbing away from the man thought to be his preferred leadership candidate, Steven Woolfe.

The brawl in the European Parliament that Woolfe got involved in, which ended up with him in hospital for several days, has cast so much doubt over his judgment that people are busy looking for someone else to support.

Steven Woolfe was Farages favoured successor but has lost support from party ranks since being hospitalised in an EU parliament brawl
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Steven Woolfe was Farage's favoured successor but has lost support from party ranks since being hospitalised in an EU parliament brawlCredit: PA:Press Association
Now Suzanne Evans - once suspended for disloyalty to Farage - looks a far more likely candidate
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Now Suzanne Evans - once suspended for disloyalty to Farage - looks a far more likely candidateCredit: PA:Press Association

Indeed, there’s speculation that when the party’s national executive meets on Monday he will be barred from standing for the leadership because of it.

Paul Nuttall, the party’s former deputy leader, and Suzanne Evans, who wrote the party manifesto at the last election, are now regarded as the two strongest candidates in the field. But neither of them are close to Farage.



It's rank for Cam

Bad news for David Cameron as academics have rated him the third worst PM since the Second World War
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Bad news for David Cameron as academics have rated him the third worst PM since the Second World WarCredit: Getty Images

MORE bad tidings for David Cameron.

Academics have ranked him as the third worst PM this country has had since World War Two.

This means that the three PMs at the bottom of the list are all Old Etonians.

Not good news for another Old Etonian, Boris Johnson.

But a school friend of Boris’s points out that, unlike these three, Boris was a scholar like Harold Macmillan – who comes in a creditable fourth from top on the list.

In other words, the scholarship boys don’t make an Eton Mess of it.



Louis ban would mock free speech

If British Gymnastics cuts funding to Louis Smith over his Muslim mockery it could cause political uproar, as senior Tories see it as a free speech issue
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If British Gymnastics cuts funding to Louis Smith over his Muslim mockery it could cause political uproar, as senior Tories see it as a free speech issueCredit: Getty Images - WireImage

IF British Gymnastics cuts the funding of Louis Smith following this paper’s revelation that he had made a video apparently mocking Islamic prayer practices, there will be a political stink.

Charles Walker, vice-chairman of the influential 1922 Committee of Tory MPs, tells me that he will table a series of urgent questions in Parliament if this happens.

He argues that this is a free-speech issue – religions cannot be allowed to carve out a special protected status for themselves. '

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