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THE COVID TOLL

How coronavirus has shaken our world – from 15m on NHS waiting lists to 35,000 more cancer deaths

IT has taken our loved ones, our livelihoods and the freedoms we all took for granted – and sadly Covid-19 will likely continue to affect us for years to come.

While a fifth of us are experiencing mental health issues because of the pandemic, perhaps nowhere has felt its effect more than the NHS.

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We look at the numbers showing how coronavirus has shaken our world
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We look at the numbers showing how coronavirus has shaken our worldCredit: Getty Images - Getty

To tackle the virus, life-saving cancer screenings have been put on hold and waiting lists have gone through the roof.

Tim Gardner, senior policy fellow at independent charity the Health Foundation, explains: “The major concern when the pandemic started to take hold was that hospital capacity would be overwhelmed by the sheer number of people who were seriously unwell with Covid-19 and might need intensive care.

“The NHS responded quite reasonably by postponing some of the less urgent NHS services to free up space. But in the end, hospitals weren’t overwhelmed during that initial outbreak.

“Sadly, the legacy is that there were enormous numbers of treatments and procedures that had to be postponed. That has created a growing backlog that the NHS is going to really struggle to deal with over the next few years.”

 

 

The NHS has started trying to get services back to pre-Covid levels, with a spokesman saying: “Hospitals are carrying out more than a million routine appointments and operations per week, with around three times the levels of elective patients admitted to hospital than in April.

“It is obviously vital for patients that this progress continues and isn’t jeopardised by a second wave of Covid infections spiralling out of control.

Here, we report on the impact of coronavirus, showing in numbers how the virus has taken its toll on us and the NHS.

15.3M ON NHS WAITING LISTS

15.3M ON NHS WAITING LISTS
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Official figures say 4million, but Freedom of Information requests reveal this is patients waiting for their first hospital appointment after being referred by GPs. Millions more await follow-ups.

110,000 WAIT 1 YEAR+ FOR NHS

110,000 WAIT 1 YEAR+ FOR NHS
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This has doubled in just two months, NHS England figures reveal. The backlog means 1.96million people have been waiting longer than 18 weeks – three times the number for August 2019.

53% STRUGGLE TO SEE GP

53% STRUGGLE TO SEE GP
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In a YouGov poll, 53 per cent of us say it is “harder” to get a GP appointment, in person or on the phone. There were 22.8million appointments in July, 85 per cent down on this time a year ago.

14.5 MILLION FEWER DENTAL VISITS

14.5 MILLION FEWER DENTAL VISITS
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A big drop since 2019. Dentists closed for three months then hit with “serious” restrictions on how they worked. The average of 30 patients a day is now 10-15. People also avoid for fear of Covid.

3 MILLION CANCER TEST BACKLOG

3 MILLION CANCER TEST BACKLOG
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Pre-Covid, the NHS screened 210,000 every week. Three million are now waiting, says Cancer Research UK, 986,000 women are late for mammograms and 8,600 might have undiagnosed cancer.

35,000 MORE CANCER DEATHS

35,000 MORE CANCER DEATHS
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Pre-Covid, the NHS screened 210,000 every week. Three million are now waiting, says Cancer Research UK, 986,000 women are late for mammograms and 8,600 might have undiagnosed cancer.

10% WAIT ON MENTAL HEALTH

10% WAIT ON MENTAL HEALTH
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Ten per cent of patients are waiting longer for mental health treatment – and the Royal College of Psychiatrists is warning that waiting times could “get a lot worse”.

1 IN 3 BEDS USED FOR COVID

1 IN 3 BEDS USED FOR COVID
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Health chiefs are planning for a winter surge that could see 35 per cent of beds taken up by those with the illness. NHS England warns: “Hospitals are reporting an increase in admissions.”

2,300 DAILY SAMARITANS CALLS

2,300 DAILY SAMARITANS CALLS
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A third of the charity’s 7,000 calls a day are related to coronavirus. Loneliness, financial pressures, fears brought about by the virus and uncertainty over the future are common concerns.

500,000 REDUNDANCIES

500,000 REDUNDANCIES
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Employers planned 58,000 redundancies in August, taking the total to 498,000 for the first five months of the crisis. Nearly 1,000 bosses planned to cut 20 or more jobs, compared with 214 last August.

1.5 MILLION CANCELLED PROCEDURES

1.5 MILLION CANCELLED PROCEDURES
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There were up to 1.5million fewer general and acute admissions between April and June in England. General and acute outpatients are down 2.6million, routine hospital treatment down 43 per cent on 2019.

86% FALL IN MATERNITY CARE

86% FALL IN MATERNITY CARE
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Women have stopped going as often for fear of the virus – and of overwhelming the NHS. A poll found an 86 per cent decline in visits to maternity units. And shortages of midwives have doubled.

2,700 'LOCKDOWN DEATHS'

2,700 'LOCKDOWN DEATHS'
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The Government’s own modelling suggests 74,000 people will die from non-Covid causes as a direct result of the initial lockdown. This includes suicides and otherwise avoidable cancer deaths.

50% FALL IN A&E VISITS

50% FALL IN A&E VISITS
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In March, hospitals saw the fewest A&E visits since records began – 1.53million, down from 2.17million in 2019. Public Health England reports some local numbers are down by as much as 50 per cent.

45% SLOWER 999 RESPONSE

45% SLOWER 999 RESPONSE
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Response times for category-two calls – classed as emergencies but not immediately life-threatening – averaged 32 minutes, against a target of 18 minutes, and up from 22 minutes in February in England.

28% DROP IN CRIME

28% DROP IN CRIME
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At the height of lockdown, police data showed a huge fall in crime. But by August, crime was down just three per cent on 2019. And assaults on emergency service workers are UP by 29 per cent.

10% SUFFER LONG COVID

10% SUFFER LONG COVID
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Thousands still report symptoms – including fatigue, loss of smell, “brain fog” and shortness of breath – after more than three months. Some £10million has been invested in “long Covid” clinics.

AFTER DELAYS I HAVE WEEKS LEFT TO LIVE

ROGER MAYMANN, 60, had a dental follow-up check cancelled in lockdown. Last month the plumber, from Blackpool, was diagnosed with advanced mouth cancer and told he has just weeks to live. Roger says:

'IN February I started feeling a dull pain towards the back of my mouth, so I called my dentist to book in for a check-up.

I was seen and referred to Blackpool Victoria Hospital, where I had an X-ray in mid-March, just before lockdown.

I was still in pain and chased up the results but was told all non-essential consultations were on hold.

The pain was getting worse, so I twice went to A&E.

While X-rays were taken, I wasn’t seen as a priority and didn’t get answers. By August, I could feel a lump the size of a thumbnail in my mouth. At the start of September, I finally got an appointment with a plastic surgeon at the Royal Preston Hospital. Scans showed I had an aggressive tumour and I was told I might now have just six to eight weeks to live.

If all this hadn’t happened during Covid, perhaps I would have been seen earlier and be OK now. Now I won’t see 2021.'

MAYHEM AND MISERY AS WE 'DOUBLE DOWN ON FAILURE'

By Lord Sumption Former Supreme Court judge

THE ground is shifting. This week, more than 12,000 scientists signed up to a courageous protest against current coronavirus policies.

It has been spearheaded by three distinguished international scientists, including Oxford University’s Prof Sunetra Gupta.

This week, more than 12,000 scientists signed up to a protest against current coronavirus policies
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This week, more than 12,000 scientists signed up to a protest against current coronavirus policiesCredit: AFP

While our Government plans fresh lockdowns, they have holed such projects below the waterline.

They argue that if the measures are temporary, they will fail. If they are maintained until there is a vaccine, they will cause irreparable damage to our physical and mental health.

By prolonging the health crisis, they may increase the death toll.

Instead of indiscriminate rules, we should be concentrating on protecting the vulnerable. The rest should be allowed to get on with normal life and acquire some natural immunity.

Scientists at Edinburgh University have just come to the same view.

Will the Government and its advisers listen? Of course not.

Coronavirus policy is being driven by Matt Hancock, a fanatic, and Boris Johnson, a muddled old bumbler.

Why are the young and healthy having to bear the brunt of the Government’s measures
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Why are the young and healthy having to bear the brunt of the Government’s measuresCredit: London News Pictures

The only person standing up to them in this Cabinet of yes-men and yes-women seems to be Chancellor Rishi Sunak.

The scientific advisers have wobbled about all over the place.

The Government’s policy is founded upon a great lie — that we are all vulnerable to Covid so it is necessary to take over the lives of everyone.

Many people believe this. But it is not true.

For healthy people under 60 the symptoms are usually mild or non-existent. The victims are overwhelmingly very old people and those with other serious health problems — serious enough to appear as a cause of death on the death certificate.

LOCKED UP

About 90 per cent of deaths have been of people aged over 70. Most are in their 80s or 90s.

These people matter and they are the ones we should be protecting. They are more than a thousand times more likely to die of Covid-19.

So why are the young and healthy having to bear the brunt of the Government’s measures?

Coronavirus policy is being driven by Matt Hancock, a fanatic, and Boris Johnson, a muddled old bumbler
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Coronavirus policy is being driven by Matt Hancock, a fanatic, and Boris Johnson, a muddled old bumblerCredit: PA:Press Association

Young adults are driving the current rise in infections. And why not? Infections don’t matter a row of beans unless they lead to hospitalisations or deaths.

For healthy people under 60, they rarely do. Children and students, for example, face a ridiculously low risk. Out of nearly 43,000 dead with Covid-19, just 41 have been under 25.

Yet for months the Government has interfered with their social and family life, disrupted their education and destroyed their job chances for years to come.

Students are being locked up in university halls of residence patrolled by security guards, forbidden to meet friends, told they may not be allowed home for Christmas and denied the personal contact with lecturers for which they are paying £9,000 a year.

This is worse than unjust. It is insane.

The Government and its scientific advisers have not even begun to address these concerns. Their cheerleaders have tried, but their arguments look pretty thin.

The only person standing up to Boris Johnson in this Cabinet of yes-men and yes-women seems to be Chancellor Rishi Sunak
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The only person standing up to Boris Johnson in this Cabinet of yes-men and yes-women seems to be Chancellor Rishi SunakCredit: 2020 Getty Images

They tell us that the young and healthy may spread the virus to the old and vulnerable.

This is only true if the Government continues to mismanage the care home situation, and if the old and vulnerable fail to take ordinary prudent steps to shelter themselves. They tell us that not all the vulnerable can be identified. This is true of only a small minority with serious but undiagnosed health conditions.

COVERING MP'S BACKS

They tell us that some of the young and healthy may have symptoms such as extreme exhaustion lasting as long as three to six months.

This so-called “long Covid” is reckoned to affect about one victim in 50. It is obviously distressing, but it cannot possibly justify inflicting misery and economic mayhem on 50million citizens aged under 60.

The lockdown and other aggressive measures of social distancing may have served a useful purpose last March, when it enabled the NHS to catch up.

Since then, they have achieved little or nothing. Current policies have obviously failed to stop the spread of the virus. All they have done is extend the crisis.

'The scientific advisers have wobbled about all over the place'
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'The scientific advisers have wobbled about all over the place'Credit: Reuters

What we are seeing now is not a second spike. It is the first spike, which the Government’s measures never tamed and which has come back to hit us. Just as their advisers told them it would, back in February and March.

So why are Johnson and his crew doubling down on failure?

The reason is becoming obvious. They don’t want to admit that knocking more than 20 per cent off our gross national product, destroying millions of jobs and boosting deaths from other causes such as cancer, dementia and cardiovascular disease may all have been for nothing.

This is about covering politicians’ backs.

Lord Sumption is a former Supreme Court judge
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Lord Sumption is a former Supreme Court judge

Boris Johnson now tells us that with his measures we can expect to return to normal by September 2021 — after a year and a half in which his Government has pointlessly prolonged the damage.

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At this rate it could be even longer — all his other predictions have been wrong. We are not fools. We can look after ourselves and those around us — probably better than ministers can.

It is about time we voted with our feet and took back control of our own lives.

SAGE Professor John Edmunds says coronavirus is 'holding a gun to the head' of the Prime Minister

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