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STERLING PERFORMANCE

Pound to euro exchange rate – sterling surges as investors plan for rate rise

Sterling rose in value to 1.1124 euros as of 8.30am, climbing compared to yesterday's close of 1.1102

THE pound leapt in value this morning, surging 0.25 per cent against the euro during early trading, with gains of 0.58 per cent by mid-afternoon.

Sterling rose in value to 1.1124 euros as of 8.30am, going on to reach 1.1130 by 9am, compared to yesterday's close of 1.1102.

 The pound surged in value this morning as traders hope for good news on Brexit and plan for a rate rise
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The pound surged in value this morning as traders hope for good news on Brexit and plan for a rate riseCredit: investing.com

By 3pm, the pound was up to 1.1166 euros, buoyed by the news that EU trade talks could begin later this year.

The rise represented gains of 0.58 per cent in a good day for the pound against both the euro and the dollar.

 As the day went on, the pound posted a stronger performance, reaching 0.58 per cent gains by 3pm
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As the day went on, the pound posted a stronger performance, reaching 0.58 per cent gains by 3pmCredit: Investing.com

The strong performance comes as traders plan for an expected interest rate hike by the Bank of England, and as EU leaders prepare for Brexit trade talks in December.

Another explanation for the rise in value is that many analysts and traders have already "priced in" the effect a bad Brexit deal would have on the pound.

This means that bad news is unlikely to have much more of an impact in the pound's value, but even small morsels of good news could have a positive effect.

Manuel Olivieri, a foreign exchange strategist at Credit Agricole, explained that this, coupled with the hopes of an upcoming rate rise, could explain the pound's performance.

The analyst said: "Well supported central bank rate expectations should prevent the currency from facing bigger downside risks, especially as a lot of negatives with respect to politics seem to be in the price by now."

Today's decent performance comes days after Bank of England governor Mark Carney was questioned about inflation and interest rates.

However, he failed to shed light on monetary policy - despite indications he will lift interest rates next month after inflation reached a five-and-a-half-year high.

The pound plunged as low as 1.0857 at the start of the month but has been making small gains in the past ten days.

Meanwhile, another factor weighing heavy on the euro is the ongoing Catalonia independence crisis in Spain, which has spooked many European investors.

What has happened to the euro conversion rate in the last few months?

The pound has seen a decline of almost 9 per cent against the euro since April this year and 12 per cent since the Brexit vote.

But with inflation at 3 per cent, a recent rally for the currency came amid speculation that the Bank of England may be about to hike interest rates to cool consumer spending and combat rising prices.

For investors, a rate hike is good news, as it means the pound gains more value while it's sat in buyers' bank accounts.

A rise in interest rates can also reflect an increase in general economic confidence, which will increase sterling's relative value on financial markets.

However, analysts think traders may be awaiting signs of better relations in Brexit talks before buying into the pound, with the markets still jittery thanks to the uncertainty involved in the divorce process.

 The pound to euro exchange rate can be affected by many factors
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The pound to euro exchange rate can be affected by many factorsCredit: Getty Images - Getty

Where is the best place to get euros?

Euros can be bought at supermarkets, the Post Office and currency specialists – but rates vary massively.

The best rates can often be found at specialist online outlets, such as Travelex, which will deliver your cash directly to your home.

Alternatively, FairFX offers currency cards which you can load up with sterling and then spend abroad like a debit card.

Travellers can use comparison sites, like MoneySavingExpert’s , to find the best rate.

If you order in advance and pick up the cash then you’ll most likely get a better rate than if you walk in.

You can also buy last-minute currency at the airport, but expect to be hit with poor rates.

It’s almost always much cheaper to buy your currency before you get to the airport.

The rates you’ll see above are the “spot” currency rate that is traded on the market.

These are different to the rates offered by currency exchange businesses, but changes in the spot rate do have an effect on how much cash you get.

How to get the best holiday money rate

WE spoke with Hannah Maundrell, editor-in-chief at money.co.uk to find out how you can guarantee the best rate when you go on holiday

  • Don’t buy cash at the airport – you’ll always be able to beat the rate with a bit of forward planning
  • Compare travel money companies online Factor in delivery costs and choose the option that gives you the most cash to spend on holiday. If you’ve left it until the last minute order online for airport collection so you get the best of both worlds.
  • Use comparison tools – MoneySavingExpert’s TravelMoneyMax enables you to compare pick-up and pre-order rates.
  • Don’t pay for travel money with a credit card – it’s likely you’ll be charged a cash withdrawal fee which adds to the cost.
  • Top up a prepaid card to lock in your rate now – Choose your card and read the T&Cs carefully as some apply hefty fees. WeSwap, FairFX and Caxton FX are all worth checking out.
  • Always choose to pay in the local currency rather than sterling – This will help you avoid sneaky exchange fees
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