MILLIONS of pensioners could see their state pension payments rise by up to £517 a year next April.
Under the triple lock, the state pension is uprated in April by inflation for the previous September, wages or 2.5%, whichever is higher.
Annual growth in total earnings, including bonuses, stood at 4.5% in June, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released today, which experts say is a significant indicator of how much payments will rise.
Steven Cameron, pensions director at Aegon, said: "The latest official average earnings figures (including bonuses) show an annual increase of 4.5%, compared to 5.7% a month ago.
"While not yet certain, this gives the best indication yet of by how much the state pension will increase next April under the Triple Lock, which the Labour Government has confirmed will remain in place."
This means that in April 2025, the full state pension could rise by around £517 a year if wage growth remains at 4.5% when July's annual growth figures are announced next month.
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This figure is both greater than 2.5% and the latest consumer price index of inflation for June, which sat at 2%.
It means that the wage growth figure will most likely be used to determine next year's state pension uprating.
However, households will still need to wait until next month to learn exactly how much their state pension will rise by in April 2025.
Earnings growth figures released in September will be used to determine the uprating.
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This is as long as it is higher than the inflation figure in September.
The full rate of the new state pension is £221.20 a week - or £11,502.40 a year.
This is what the state pays those who reach state pension age after April 6, 2016.
Under the old system, the full basic state pension is £169.50 per week or £8,814 a year, and it is paid to those who retired before April 6, 2016.
How does the state pension work?
AT the moment the current state pension is paid to both men and women from age 66 - but it's due to rise to 67 by 2028 and 68 by 2046.
The state pension is a recurring payment from the government most Brits start getting when they reach state pension age.
But not everyone gets the same amount, and you are awarded depending on your National Insurance record.
For most pensioners, it forms only part of their retirement income, as they could have other pots from a workplace pension, earning and savings.
The new state pension is based on people's National Insurance records.
Workers must have 35 qualifying years of National Insurance to get the maximum amount of the new state pension.
You earn National Insurance qualifying years through work or by getting credits, such as when you care for children and claim child benefit.
If you have gaps, you can top up your record by paying in voluntary National Insurance contributions.
To get the old, full basic state pension, you will need 30 years of contributions or credits.
You will need at least 10 years on your NI record to get any state pension.
PAYMENT BOOST ON THE WAY
If wage growth remained at 4.5% when the next round of figures is released next month, the new state pension would get a boost of around £517.
For those on the new state pension, weekly payments would rise by £9.95 a week to £231.15 - up from £221.20.
An increase of 4.5% would bring the yearly new state pension to £12,061 a year.
For those on the full basic state pension, payments would rise by £7.63 a week to £177.13.
An increase of 4.5% would bring the yearly basic state pension to £9,210.76 a year.
Helen Morrissey, head of retirement analysis at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: "Such a rise will be welcomed by pensioners still emerging from the cost-of-living crisis.
"However, with many still reeling from the news that their winter fuel payment is to be taken away, it won’t be quite the boost that many hoped for.
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"There's another looming challenge - frozen tax thresholds mean that the full new state pension is creeping ever closer to tax paying territory and a similar rise next year could see it surpass it.
"With these freezes in place until 2028, there's every chance, we could see pensioners solely reliant on the state pension finding part of it is making its way to the taxman."
CLAIMING THE STATE PENSION
YOU won't automatically get the state pension when you reach 66 - you need to claim it once you're eligible.
You should receive a letter explaining what to do no later than two months before you reach state pension age.
You can apply for the State Pension online by visiting www.gov.uk/get-state-pension.
You can choose to defer getting the state pension - you don't have to take it as soon as you are eligible when you reach state pension age.
Leaving your state pension untouched can boost the amount you eventually get.
If you opt to defer your state pension, your entitlement increases by the equivalent of 1% for every five weeks you do so.
As the state system can be tricky to navigate, requesting a state pension forecast is a key part of pension planning.
This will help you understand how much you could be eligible to receive and at what age.
View your state pension forecast by visiting www.gov.uk/check-state-pension.