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TRUST YOUR GUT?

UK punters prone to relying on ‘gut instinct’ reveals new survey

Mature men sitting on the sofa at home and watching American Football games. He is using smart phone for sports betting.

GO with your gut? Apparently not…

A surprising number of UK punters are over-reliant on gut instinct and intuition when it comes to placing their bets.

That's according to an of 1,000 regular UK sports bettors, which found that a whopping 59.48% of gamblers admitted to being confident when trusting their gut.

The UK is one of the world’s leading markets for sports betting, with the industry valued at an estimated £4billion
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The UK is one of the world’s leading markets for sports betting, with the industry valued at an estimated £4billionCredit: GETTY

This trend is especially prevalent among regular sports bettors, with 59.48% expressing confidence in their ability to bet based on "gut feeling" alone.

To counter this, AskGamblers has launched a campaign urging British bettors to adopt a more data-driven, research-based approach that could lead to smarter, more reliable betting outcomes.

In the UK betting landscape, 54.49% of punters regularly rely on their instincts when placing sports bets.

Female bettors appear particularly inclined towards this approach, with 57.48% of women preferring gut feelings over research, compared to 52.66% of men.

Age also plays a role; Millennials and Generation Y (ages 28-34) are the most likely to rely on intuition, with 55.13% betting based on gut instinct. In contrast, the Silent Generation (ages 79+) is the least likely to follow this approach, at 50%.

But it turns out that backing a horse who wears the same colours as your tea towels, or picking lottery numbers based on a loved-ones birthday isn't a reliable strategy.

One-third (32%) of British bettors report regretting decisions made based on gut feeling, with men (33.98%) experiencing more regret than women (29.40%).

However, 7% of betting Brits say they never regret relying on instinct.

Interestingly, 64.67% of those who regularly bet based on intuition admit that calculated, research-driven bets generally lead to better outcomes.

Men are slightly more likely to acknowledge the benefits of research over intuition, with 65.54% of male bettors versus 63.25% of female bettors.

Many experienced bettors discourage novices from betting on gut instinct alone. Only 16.87% believe there's no harm in first-timers relying on intuition—possibly due to the myth of "beginner’s luck.

The data also indicates that UK football bettors, in particular, recognise the value of research.

72.52% recommend that first-time football bettors base their decisions on thorough analysis, likely due to poor outcomes from relying on gut feeling.

Bojana Djordjevic, Head of Editorial Content at AskGamblers, said: "The appealing thing about instinctive betting is that it feels personal.

"Think of people using their loved ones’ birthday dates in the lottery — the emotional weight tied to these choices makes any win difficult to forget. This connection often fosters an unrealistic loyalty to gut feelings."


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