Aston Villa vs Liverpool betting preview: odds and predictions
AFTER European disappointment in midweek, Villa will look to secure Champions League football next season by defeating a Liverpool team with little left to play for.
⏩ Quick betting tips for Aston Villa vs Liverpool
- Aston Villa/Draw double chance - 23/20 with Spreadex
- Harvey Elliott 3+ shots - 11/8 with bet365
- Ollie Watkins anytime scorer - 15/8 with Sky Bet
Aston Villa vs Liverpool odds
Here are the latest match odds for Aston Villa vs Liverpool from our favourite football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool betting preview
Despite Villa having lost three in a row for the first time this season, it’s hard to get too excited about Liverpool here at 4/6.
At time of writing, yes, they’ve technically still got a chance of winning the league but the reality is that come kick-off on Monday night, the Reds are highly unlikely to have anything of substance to play for.
Villa, on the other hand, have Champions League football to secure, albeit that could also have already been decided come Monday – a Spurs loss to Burnley would seal the deal for Villa.
Whatever the scenario come kick-off, Villa’s home record probably warrants more respect than the odds suggest.
They’ve won 19 of their last 25 league games at Villa Park, losing only three, and with Liverpool boasting the best home record in the top flight, the reason for their slip off the title pace has been their away form with ‘only’ nine of 18 such games won.
OK, Villa have hit the skids over the past week or so, going out of Europe at the semi-final stage and losing at Brighton last weekend.
However, they’ve generally done well in these post-European league games and given what’s likely to be at stake for both teams, they look worth siding with in some form.
The best way to do that looks to be in the double-chance market where we can basically back Villa not to lose at odds-against.
Given that strong home record, that looks decent.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool key stats
- Villa come into this game having lost three in a row for the first time this season and have triumphed in just one of their last six in all competitions.
- Ollie Watkins, currently fourth in the PL top scorers’ list with 19, has five career goals against Liverpool; only Brighton have conceded more goals to the England striker.
- Liverpool have gone nine games without a clean sheet, their worst such run in 20 years.
- Jurgen Klopp’s men have won only three of their last eight matches in all competitions.
- Mo Salah has six goals and three assists in his last eight Premier League games against Villa. He has three goals in his last three visits to Villa Park.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool best bets
Find our best bets for Aston Villa vs Liverpool below. All our odds for the bets are from the best football betting sportsbooks, as per our expert reviews. Odds in our football betting tips are also subject to change.
Aston Villa/Draw double chance
Villa have avoided defeat in 22 of their last 25 league games on home soil so odds-against about them doing so again here looks good.
Yes, they’ve lost three in a row in all competitions but the likelihood here is they have a massive target to aim at, whereas Liverpool’s season looks essentially done.
⚽ Back Aston Villa/Draw in the double-chance market at 23/20 with Spreadex ⚽
Harvey Elliott 3+ shots
Elliott was one of the stars of last week’s 4-2 win over Spurs at Anfield and he scored a screamer too.
Overall, he managed four shots in that game, a tally he matched at both West Ham and Fulham.
Having landed this bet in his last three starts, the youngster is tempting at 11/8 to have at least three in this contest.
For the record, another 4+ haul is a 10/3 chance.
⚽ Bet on Elliott to have 3+ shots at 11/8 with bet365 ⚽
Ollie Watkins anytime scorer
Watkins is closing in on 20 league goals for the season and he should fancy his chances against an opponent he’s had plenty of success against in the past, netting five against the Reds in total.
Liverpool have conceded multiple goals in their last three matches and there’s not been a clean sheet in nine now.
Essentially, Villa should get chances and Watkins is far and away the man most likely to get on the end of them.
⚽ Back Watkins to score at any time at 15/8 with Sky Bet ⚽
How to watch Aston Villa vs Liverpool
- Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England
- Time: 20:00 BST on Monday, May 13
- Where to watch: Sky Sports’ Premier League and Main Event
About the author
Dean Etheridge
Dean is a freelance sports betting writer and website owner who specialises in football and cricket. With many years of experience writing for his own publications and others, Dean can turn his hand to a wide variety of sports, using his extensive knowledge and sense of humour to provide expert content with a totally different perspective. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn () and Twitter ().
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