Baftas 2024: betting odds and predictions
THIS weekend, the film and entertainment worlds turn their eyes towards London as the 77th British Academy Film Awards (BAFTAs) are broadcast live from the Royal Albert Hall.
The ceremony is the last major stop before the Academy Awards on March 10th. In this BAFTAs betting guide, I’m going to take a look through all of the BAFTAs odds and provide my thoughts on all of the major categories.
🏆 My favourite Baftas 2024 betting sites
🎞️ BAFTA Award for Best Film (2024)
The BAFTA Best Film is the biggest award handed out at the ceremony. The award was previously seen as a precursor to the Academy Awards, but in recent years, this has changed, with BAFTA only picking the same winner as the Academy once in the last decade when they backed Nomadland in 2020.
Last year’s Best Film winner was All Quiet on the Western Front, which lost out at the Oscars to Everything Everywhere All at Once.
🥇 Who is the favourite for Best Film?
Oppenheimer is rolling into this awards season full-steam ahead, and I can’t see its momentum being derailed at the BAFTAs this weekend. Christopher Nolan’s movie has picked up best film at every major ceremony, and the BAFTAs will be the last major stop on the road to Oscar glory. The film is valued at 1/7 with bet365.
Killers of the Flower Moon, the movie many thought would be Oppenhemier’s main competitor this awards season, is well off-the-pace. It is priced all the way out at 14/1 with bet365, which is the same as Alexander Payne’s The Holdovers. Poor Things and Anatomy of a Fall are at 9/1 and 10/1 with bet365, respectively. You would have to be incredibly brave to back any of these over Oppenheimer.
📊 BAFTA Best Film odds
| Film | Sky Bet | bet365 | 10bet | BetMGM | BetUK |
| Oppenheimer | 1/8 | 1/7 | 1/8 | 1/20 | 1/20 |
| Poor Things | 12/1 | 9/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| Killers of the Flower Moon | 12/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| Anatomy of a Fall | 14/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 |
| The Holdovers | 20/1 | 14/1 | 12/1 | 17/1 | 17/1 |
🎞️ BAFTA Award for Best Actor (2024)
The BAFTA award for Best Actor is very much the opposite of Best Film regarding predicting Academy Award success. Last year was the first time in a decade that the Best Actor winner at the BAFTAs didn’t go on to win Best Actor at the Academy Awards. Austin Butler won for his performance as the titular character in Elvis, while Brendan Fraser won the Oscar for The Whale.
🥇 Who is the favourite for Best Actor?
Like the Best Film race, the Best Actor award feels like a foregone conclusion. Cillian Murphy has taken home every major statuette this award season, and I can’t see any outcome other than him adding the BAFTA to that list. He is priced at 5/1 with Sky Bet.
Paul Giamatti, my personal favourite, is the second favourite at 7/2 for his magnificent performance in The Holdovers, while Bradley Cooper, the man many thought could shake up the awards race, is out at 12/1 for Maestro.
Barry Keoghan (Saltburn), Colman Domingo (Rustin), and Teo Yoo (Past Lives) make up the chasing pack at odds of 33/1, 80/1, and 100/1, respectively.
📊 BAFTA Best Actor odds
| Actor | Sky Bet | bet365 | 10bet | BetMGM | BetUK |
| Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
| Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 13/4 | 13/4 |
| Bradley Cooper - Maestro | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| Barry Keoghan - Saltburn | 12/1 | 33/1 | 25/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
| Colman Domingo - Rustin | 50/1 | 80/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 |
| Teo Yoo - Past Lives | 80/1 | 100/1 | 60/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 |
🎞️ BAFTA Award for Best Actress (2024)
The BAFTA Best Actress award has had a mixed record with the Academy Awards in recent years. Three of the last five BAFTAs have not won at the Oscars, but there was a long run of nearly a decade of matching results before that. The award is one of the highest an Actress can win, with the BAFTAs being widely considered the second most important ceremony during awards season.
🥇 Who is the favourite for Best Actress?
Emma Stone is rightfully the clear frontrunner for the Best Actress Bafta. Stone’s performance in Poor Things was my personal favourite of the year, and it deserves all of the plaudits and awards it has been getting. If you want to back her, the best odds are 1/2 with Bet10.
The biggest surprise in this category for me is that Margot Robbie has failed to pick up any awards momentum. Barbie was the movie event of the year, and while her performance was not show-stealing, I expected it to gain more traction and be a popular second choice. She is all the way out at 40/1 with bet365.
Stone’s closest competitor is the German actress Sandra Huller for her terrific performance in Anatomy of a Fall. The 2023 Palme D’or winner has picked up momentum throughout the awards season, and Huller could be the night's shock. The bookies certainly think she has a chance. You can bet on Sandra Huller to win Best Actress at the BAFTAs at 11/4 with BetMGM.
📊 BAFTA Best Actress odds
| Actress | Sky Bet | bet365 | 10bet | BetMGM | BetUK |
| Emma Stone - Poor Things | 1/4 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Sandra Huller - Anatomy of a Fall | 11/4 | 5/2 | 6/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 |
| Carey Mulligan - Maestro | 22/1 | 22/1 | 16/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 |
| Vivian Oparah - Rye Lane | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 |
| Margot Robbie - Barbie | 14/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
| Fantasia Barrino - The Color Purple | 40/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 501 | 50/1 |
🎞️ BAFTA Award for Best Director (2024)
The BAFTA Best Director reward is considered by many to be the second most important award of the evening. The BAFTAs have a habit of awarding the same winner for Best Director and Best Film, which is something the Oscars don’t tend to do as much. Last year’s winner was Edward Berger for All Quiet on the Western Front.
🥇 Who is the favourite for Best Director?
Another category dominated by Oppenheimer is Christopher Nolan. Of all the awards, this one feels like the most guaranteed. Nolan is due a major awards win after being one of the best in the industry for the last two decades, and he will get his flowers on Sunday night. You can back Christopher Nolan to win Best Director at 1/12 with 10bet.
📊 BAFTA Best Director odds
| Director | Sky Bet | Star Sports | 10bet | BetMGM | BetUK |
| Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer | 1/16 | 1/12 | 1/12 | 1/40 | 1/50 |
| Justine Triet - Anatomy of a Fall | 10/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 |
| Bradley Cooper - Maestro | 18/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 |
| Andrew Haigh - All of Us Strangers | 22/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 |
| Alexander Payne - The Holdovers | 25/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
🎞️ BAFTA Award for Best Supporting Actor (2024)
Best Supporting Actor is seen as one of the night’s major categories. Last year’s winner was Barry Keoghan for his powerful performance in The Banshees of Inesherin. He would not win at the Oscars, with Ke Huy Quan winning for Everything Everywhere All At Once. However, prior to this, BAFTA and the Academy had backed the same actor in nine out of ten years.
🥇 Who is the favourite for Best Supporting Actor?
Another category where Oppenheimer is dominant. Robert Downey Jr has swept up every major award on his way to the ceremony, and it looks like he will secure another one this weekend. If you want to back Robert Downey Jr, he is best priced at 1/8 with Bet10.
In my opinion, this category should be much closer than it is. Paul Mescal is mesmerising in All of Us Strangers, while Dominic Sessa definitely stakes a claim for his complex portrayal of the student Angus Tully in The Holdovers. These are priced at 12/1 and 28/1, respectively, with Sky Bet Respectively.
Ryan Gosling also stole the show as Ken in Barbie, but any early awards momentum he has built appears to have dropped off significantly. He is available at 11/1 with Sky Bet.
📊 BAFTA Best Supporting Actor odd
| Actor | Sky Bet | bet365 | 10bet | Star Sports | BetUK |
| Robert Downey Jr - Oppenheimer | 1/10 | 1/10 | 1/8 | 1/10 | 1/10 |
| Ryan Gosling - Barbie | 11/1 | 11/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 |
| Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 |
| Paul Mescal - All of Us Strangers | 12/1 | 11/1 | 10/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 |
| Dominic Sessa - The Holdovers | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
| Jacob Elordi - Saltburn | 33/1 | 18/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 |
🎞️ BAFTA Award for Best Supporting Actress (2024)
The BAFTA award for Best Supporting Actress is often one of the night’s most unpredictable, with the body awarding a wide spectrum of different performances over the last decade. Last year’s winner was Kerry Condon for The Banshees of Inersherin, while the Academy awarded Jamie Lee Curtis for Everything Everywhere All At Once.
🥇 Who is the favourite for Best Supporting Actress?
The Best Supporting Actress race is the one where my favourite film of the year is likely to be rewarded. Da’Vine Joy Randolph is the front-runner for her powerful performance as a grieving mother in The Holdovers. She can be backed at ⅛ with bet365.
Emily Blunt is the second favourite for her performance in Oppenheimer, while Sandra Huller, who is also nominated for Best Actress, sits in third place for her chilling portrayal of Hedwig Höss in the Zone of Interest. You can back either of these at 12/1 or 14/1 with Sky Bet, respectively.
📊 BAFTA Best Supporting Actress odds
| Actress | Sky Bet | bet365 | 10bet | BetMGM | BetUK |
| Da’Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers | 1/10 | 1/8 | 1/8 | 1/14 | 1/14 |
| Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer | 12/1 | 7/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 |
| Sandra Huller - The Zone of Interest | 14/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 |
| Rosamund Pike - Saltburn | 22/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 |
| Claire Foy - All of Us Strangers | 22/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 |
| Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple | 20/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 2533/1 |
💰 How to place a bet on the Baftas 2024
If you fancy a flutter on this weekend’s BAFTAs ceremony, follow these steps:
- Log in or sign up to your chosen bookmaker.
- If you are signing up with a new bookmaker, use one of the links provided and don’t forget to claim your welcome bonus.
- Find the BAFTA betting markets. These may be located under ‘Film/TV’, ‘Specials’ or ‘Novelty’, depending on the bookmaker.
- Select the market you want to bet on and add your selection to your betting slip.
- Confirm you have made the right selection and enter your stake.
- Place your bet and tune into the 2024 BAFTAs to find out if you’ve won.
⭐ Baftas betting tips to win real money
If you want to bet on this year’s BAFTAs, we recommend following some of this advice:
💡 Follow the Award Circuit
One phrase you are likely to see a lot around the BAFTAs and the upcoming Academy Awards is ‘awards circuit’. That’s because awards start being handed out for films long before the Oscar for Best Picture is rewarded.
Different film fans will have different ideas of what the first awards ceremony of the year is, with my personal choice being the Gotham Awards in November. Past this, there are countless major awards ceremonies, with many individual critics groups also holding ceremonies.
Rotten Tomatoes does an excellent job of keeping you up to date on major awards won, and these numbers are often a huge indication of the way the major shows are going to go.
💡 Bet Early
If you are someone who follows the film industry closely, I recommend getting in your bets for Best Film as early as possible. As the event gets closer, winners tend to become clearer, and odds shorten significantly.
I begin to monitor the odds for Best Film/Best Picture as early as September, looking out for films that appear to be set for theatrical runs during award season, ones that have performed exceptionally well with critics, and ones that show all of the classic signs of being a major awards contender.
💡 Study Previous Winners
So what are the classic signs of the Best Film winner, I hear you ask? This has changed in recent years, becoming harder and harder to predict. However, the BAFTAs, of all the major ceremonies, are the ones that appear to stick closer to the traditional choices.
Since 2010, we have seen two war movies win - All Quiet on the Western Front (2023) and 1917 (2019), , four movies inspired by either historic events or a memoir/biography - The King’s Speech (2010), Argo (2012), 12 Years a Slave (2013) and Roma (2018), two Westerns - The Revenant (2015) and the Power of the Dog (2021), and two films about the magic of Hollywood - The Artist (2011), La La Land (2017). This leaves Boyhood (2014), Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing Missouri (2017) and Nomadland (2020) as the only three that don’t fit a clear type unless you count movies starring Frances McDormand as their own genre now.
The film industry clearly loves awarding certain types of movies, and Oppenheimer certainly falls into at least one of those categories.
💡 Look for Upsets
Each awards body has its own quirks and differences, and as a result, there is always the chance of a major upset on the night. The BAFTAs, for obvious reasons, do lean towards British-made movies. In four of the last five years, BAFTA has chosen a different Best Film winner to what the Academy has chosen in the end, and three of those four had British production companies working on them.
Oppenheimer has plenty of British involvement, so it seems unlikely they will not back that. However, they could maybe look to cause a few upsets in the acting categories, as seen by their big support of Saltburn, a movie largely ignored by other major awards bodies.
💡 Bet Responsibly
It is very easy to see the odds attached to awards ceremonies and to chuck big amounts of cash at them. Like sports, though, nothing is ever certain with award ceremonies, with plenty of famous upsets happening on the night.
If you are going to bet on the BAFTAs, we would like to remind you to gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
❓Q&As about Baftas betting sites
1. When are the Baftas 2024?
18th February 2024. This year’s ceremony will take place on Sunday, February 18th, starting at 8:00 pm GMT. It will be hosted by David Tennant and is broadcast live from the Royal Albert Hall in London.
2. Why is it important to choose top-rated betting sites for Baftas bets?
To get the best value and odds. All of the bookies we have recommended in this guide have competitive odds and a range of Bafta betting markets for you to enjoy.
3. What are the popular Baftas categories with the best odds?
Best Film, Best Actor, and Best Actress are the three most popular markets to bet on at the Baftas.
4. Are there special bonuses for Baftas betting in the UK?
Sometimes. The Baftas is considered the second most important film award ceremony of the year, behind the Oscars. As such, you might find special offers and price boosts on the Baftas, but many betting sites will save these for the Oscars.
5. Can I use my mobile phone to bet on the Baftas?
Yes. All of the Baftas betting sites listed in this guide allow for betting on mobile phones and top casino apps.
About the author
Liam Hoofe
Liam is an experienced iGaming and sports betting journalist based in Cardiff. He has worked in the sports betting industry since 2017 and has provided content for some of the biggest casino and betting brands in the UK. He has also covered football and other sports for both regional and national newspapers.
Remember to gamble responsibly
A responsible gambler is someone who:
- Establishes time and monetary limits before playing
- Only gambles with money they can afford to lose
- Never chase their losses
- Doesn’t gamble if they’re upset, angry, or depressed
- Gamcare –
- Gamble Aware –
Find our detailed guide on responsible gambling practices here.
For help with a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 or go to
