Liverpool vs Everton betting preview: odds and predictions
THE INTERNATIONAL BREAK is over and the Premier League returns with a bang in the shape of the Merseyside derby on Saturday lunchtime – can Liverpool maintain their stranglehold over their city rivals?
Liverpool vs Everton odds
Here are the latest match odds for Liverpool vs Everton odds from our top-rated football bookies:
⏩ Quick betting tips for Liverpool vs Everton
- Liverpool to win and both teams to score - 13/8 with Spreadex
- Doucoure to have over 1.5 shots - 13/8 with bet365
- Branthwaite to be carded - 9/2 with Sky Bet
Liverpool vs Everton betting preview
Given most pre-season predictions, Liverpool have performed above expectations so far, winning five and losing only one of their opening eight Premier League games.
Facing their forward line looks a fearsome prospect, particularly with Luis Diaz now back to something approaching his best.
Dominik Szoboszlai has added an extra dimension in midfield, although the Reds haven’t been so great going the other way with only one clean sheet secured so far.
Alexis Mac Allister has been relied upon for defensive duties – not something he was regularly doing at Brighton – and Jurgen Klopp is yet to fully integrate his other new signings, Ryan Gravenberch and Wataru Endo, both of whom should help plug the gaps in that area.
For now, they remain a little vulnerable at the back.
Whether Everton can take advantage remains to be seen.
They have actually produced a very impressive expected-goals figure of 17.56, creating numerous chances in several games they’ve ended up losing.
However, that also shows the lack of quality finishing in their line-up – a long-term problem - and you wonder if they’ll be able to fashion similarly good chances against a side as a strong as Liverpool.
They’ve certainly looked cowed when facing them in the recent past, failing to score in eight of the last 12 derbies and winning just one of the last 28.
Another loss seems the most likely outcome here, although getting with the Toffees to find the net may offer a bit of value.
📝 Liverpool vs Everton key stats
- Since the start of last season, Liverpool have won just one of their seven games in the Saturday lunchtime slot, losing three.
- Seven of Liverpool’s eight Premier League games this season have seen both teams score.
- In February 2021, Everton famously ended a wait of more than 20 years for a win at Anfield. However, they’ve lost six of their last seven at the home of their great rivals.
- Everton have failed to score in eight of their last 12 meetings with Liverpool.
- The Toffees have the biggest gap in the Premier League between their expected goals figure (17.56) and their actual goals figure (9).
Liverpool vs Everton best bets
Here's what we have in store for you today:
Liverpool to win and both teams to score
Liverpool have dominated this derby for some time now with Everton often looking mentally scarred when lining up against their city rivals.
The Reds have been in good form, losing only in injury time with nine men at Spurs, and should prove too strong.
That said, they’ve not been watertight, as evidenced by the fact both teams to score has landed in seven of their eight league games so far.
With Everton’s expected-goals figure impressive, they may well get chances in what could be a high-scoring affair.
⚽ Back Liverpool to win and both teams to score at 13/8 at Spreadex ⚽
Abdoulaye Doucoure over 1.5 shots
With three goals already this season, Doucoure now has seven in his last 18 Premier League starts so could be a spot of value at 13/2 to find the net here.
However, a more realistic bet may be for him to have 2+ shots.
The Mali international has provided the main support to a central striker from midfield of late, especially in away games. He managed two shots at Brentford, four at Sheffield United and, prior to the international break, hit five at home to Bournemouth.
Yes, the quality of opponent rises here but Doucoure has been a key man for Everton under Sean Dyche and 13/8 about him having at least two shots here looks too big.
⚽ Bet on Doucoure to have over 1.5 shots at 13/8 at bet365 ⚽
Jarrad Branthwaite to be carded
A Merseyside derby usually means cards and a scan through the anytime card market throws up Branthwaite as the value call.
The Everton centre-back has been carded in four of his last eight Premier League starts.
Now, he will experience the derby for the first time, going up against arguably the most-feared forward line in the top flight.
Craig Pawson is a good enough appointment in card terms so Branthwaite gets the nod at a chunky 7/2.
⚽ Back Branthwaite to be carded at 9/2 with Sky Bet ⚽
📺 How to watch Liverpool vs Everton
- Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England
- Time: 12:30 BST on Saturday, October 21st
- Where to watch: TNT Sports
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